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Pulse #7

Threat Pulse W19 — Telnet Flood Dominates as RCE Campaigns Persist

Week of May 1–4 saw 92,572 inbound probes (-13.7%), with fake-telnet accounting for 97.5% of traffic. A single US-based actor drove 84% of all events, while five critical RCE campaigns remained uniformly active.
Week of 04 May 2026

Executive Summary

Tarpit-lab.xyz recorded 92,572 inbound probes between May 1–4, 2026, a 13.7% decrease from the prior week. Despite lower overall volume, attack diversity remained high: telnet scanning dominated at near-total share, while five critical remote code execution (RCE) campaigns continued operating at identical hit counts, suggesting coordinated or automated tooling. Brute-force credential stuffing against telnet targets featured a familiar IoT default-password list, consistent with Mirai-family activity.


Attack Volume & Trends

Metric This Week vs. Prior Week
Total probes 92,572 -13.7%
Scans 80,525 dominant
Brute-force 11,008 elevated
RCE attempts 815 stable
Recon 200 low
Exploits 24 low

Facade breakdown:

Facade Events Share
fake-telnet 90,216 97.5%
fake-ssh 1,177 1.3%
fake-mysql 811 0.9%
fake-http 203 0.2%
fake-postgres 92 0.1%
fake-redis 35 <0.1%
fake-https 21 <0.1%
fake-mongodb 17 <0.1%

The telnet facade continues to absorb an overwhelming share of traffic. The sharp concentration of events on a single facade and a single source IP (see below) partially explains the week-over-week volume decrease — activity appears dominated by one persistent scanning operator rather than broad multi-actor campaigns. SSH and MySQL remain secondary targets with consistent low-level pressure.


Top Threat Actors

Rank Origin ASN Events Primary Behavior
1 US 24 SHELLS 78,572 Mass telnet scan
2 US DigitalOcean, LLC 4,494 Scan
3 US Shock Hosting LLC 1,267 Scan
4 FR Contabo GmbH 830 Scan
5 US 24 SHELLS 744 Scan

Key observations:

  • Actor #1 (24 SHELLS) is responsible for approximately 84.9% of all weekly events, an extraordinary concentration. This host is conducting high-velocity telnet scanning and is the primary driver of overall volume. Two separate 24 SHELLS-attributed IPs appear in the top 5, reinforcing this provider's role as an infrastructure source for scanning operations.
  • DigitalOcean and Shock Hosting entries are consistent with recurring abuse of cloud VPS providers for opportunistic scanning — a persistent pattern across weekly sensor data.
  • Contabo GmbH (FR) at rank 4 represents the only non-US top-5 actor this week, conducting scan traffic at moderate volume.
  • All top actors are scan-dominant with no RCE or exploit classification, suggesting the critical campaign hits originate from a broader, lower-volume tail of sources not individually ranked.

Active Campaigns

Five critical-severity campaigns were recorded this week, each registering an identical hit count of 12,047, which strongly indicates automated batch scanning tools cycling through the same payload list in a single pass.

Campaign Type Severity Hits
Hikvision ISAPI RCE RCE Critical 12,047
PHPUnit eval-stdin RCE RCE Critical 12,047
Apache Path Traversal / RCE Path Traversal / RCE Critical 12,047
GeoServer OGC Filter RCE RCE Critical 12,047
Exchange ProxyLogon RCE Critical 12,047

Analysis:

  • The uniform hit count across all five campaigns is a strong indicator that a single tool or operator is running a multi-exploit scanner with a fixed payload list — each probe set is dispatched once per target cycle.
  • Hikvision ISAPI and PHPUnit eval-stdin are perennial favorites targeting exposed IP cameras and legacy PHP applications respectively — both remain widely unpatched in the wild.
  • Exchange ProxyLogon (CVE-2021-26855 and related chain) continues to see active exploitation attempts despite its age, reflecting the long tail of unpatched on-premise Exchange infrastructure.
  • GeoServer OGC Filter RCE (CVE-2024-36401) is a relatively recent critical vulnerability; its presence alongside older CVEs confirms attackers are maintaining updated toolkits.
  • Apache Path Traversal / RCE likely includes CVE-2021-41773/42013 payloads, which remain effective against misconfigured or unpatched Apache 2.4.x instances.

Notable Paths & Techniques

Unstable / Anomalous Path

  • UNSTABLE recorded 11,950 hits — this label likely reflects malformed or protocol-violating connection attempts that the sensor could not parse into a clean path. At this volume, it may indicate a custom or broken scanner, a fuzzing tool, or a non-standard telnet dialect used by IoT botnet implants.

Credential Brute-Force (Telnet / SSH)

The following passwords were observed in active credential-stuffing attempts:

Password Hits Notes
admin 1,218 Universal default
xc3511 786 Hikvision DVR default
vizxv 726 Dahua DVR default
(empty) 606 No-auth probe
123456 505 Generic weak password
password 497 Generic weak password
888888 458 Common IoT default
1111 445 Common IoT default
default 437 Generic default

Key observations:

  • The presence of xc3511 and vizxv is a definitive indicator of Mirai-family botnet propagation activity. These are hardcoded credentials from the original Mirai source code targeting Hikvision and Dahua DVR/NVR devices.
  • The blank password probe (pass=) suggests attackers are also attempting authentication against devices with no password set.
  • The overall password list is consistent with IoT-targeted botnet recruitment rather than targeted human-operated intrusion.

Geographic Distribution

Country Events Share Notes
United States 87,692 94.7% Dominated by single scanning actor
France 974 1.1% Contabo-hosted scanner
Bulgaria 713 0.8%
China 516 0.6%
Romania 465 0.5%
Netherlands 348 0.4%
Venezuela 338 0.4%
Palestine 310 0.3%

Notes:

  • The US share (94.7%) is atypically high and almost entirely attributable to the dominant 24 SHELLS actor. Absent that single source, the geographic distribution would likely be far more balanced.
  • Bulgaria, Romania, and Netherlands are consistent recurring sources in European VPS-hosted scanning activity.
  • Venezuela and Palestine appearing in the top 8 is worth monitoring; both have appeared in prior weeks and may reflect compromised infrastructure or regional VPN/proxy exit nodes rather than origin actors.

Recommendations

  1. Block or rate-limit 24 SHELLS ASN traffic at perimeter if telnet exposure is not required. The concentration of 85% of weekly volume from this provider is operationally significant.
  1. Patch or isolate Exchange, Apache, and GeoServer instances immediately if public-facing. ProxyLogon and GeoServer OGC RCE have public exploits and are being actively scanned.
  1. Disable Telnet entirely on all IoT and network devices. Replace with SSH with key-based authentication. The Mirai credential list (xc3511, vizxv) targets devices that almost certainly support SSH as an alternative.
  1. Enforce non-default credentials on all DVR/NVR, IP camera, and embedded systems. The password list observed this week is directly derived from manufacturer defaults.
  1. Investigate UNSTABLE traffic at your perimeter: ~12K malformed connection attempts may evade signature-based detection. Ensure your IDS/IPS handles malformed protocol negotiation gracefully.
  1. Monitor PHPUnit paths (/vendor/phpunit/) in web application logs. Legacy PHP dependencies are frequently left in production deployments and represent a trivially exploitable RCE surface.
  1. Treat uniform campaign hit counts as a single-actor signal: when multiple distinct CVE exploits arrive at exactly equal volumes, this suggests one scanning operator. Blocking the source resolves all campaigns simultaneously.